i just bought the gambling bot it’s going great
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36 comments
People eventually realized it was just smarter to bet against the dumb books by trusting Pinnacle line than 0% risk arbitrage. Arbitrage you make 5% most of the time. If a sports bet wins you make 90% of your bet. Yes people do beat sportsbook but it is all advanced analytic models. If you apply the same work ethic to beating sportsbook as to advanced analytics you would make more money doing anything else.
1) There are pro slot players, they play machines that have incremental jackpots and play when the incremental jackpot makes the spin +EV.
2) A disparity in odds is one tool of a winning bettor. If you don't have good data wrangling/modeling chops it should probably be the only tool you use and you should always shop for the best odds but to say that comparing odds is the only way to be a winning bettor is blatantly false. There are many people who are able to pick off bad opening lines on NFL/NBA/College games, they're just not the people selling picks on Instagram.
3) There are softer books such as MGM who will have error lines with more frequency. These books that have big errors with more frequency will limit you extremely quickly. Books like Fanduel you're able to still get down as much as $1,000 on main lines even when limited but they have palpable errors orders of magnitude less often. That said, there are still winning bets to be made but will have EV of low single digits not his +3400 example.
4) The way he describes the process of making these bets is incorrect. You can pay for a discord bot that will notify you when these lines are off. You need to be at your computer when the notification hits because these lines will almost always move in seconds. You can make each individual bet in seconds, but you can't sit down at your computer and make a days worth of bets in seconds. To get a good amount of volume down you have to be at your computer for long periods of time and able to instantly drop whatever you're doing to click a link and make a bet within a couple seconds.
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